State of Trade in the Region Report 2015

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The State of Trade in the Region 2015-2016

Sate of the region 2015Trade growth in the Asia-Pacific is expected to post a moderate recovery in 2015 with exports growing at 4.9 percent and imports at 3.8 percent, down from 4.5 percent and 4.0 percent respectively in 2014.

 

 

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icon State of the Region Report 2015-2016


Content:

i Executive Summary

The State of Trade in the Region
Contributed by Patrick Low and Eduardo Pedrosa

  • Future Drivers of Growth
  • Changing Balance between Emerging and Advanced Economies?
    • Figure 1: Asia-Pacific Trade Growth 1990-2019
    • Figure 2: Top Trade Issues APEC Should Address
  • Determinants of Export Performance
    • Figure 3: Determinants of Export Performance
    • Figure 4: Views on the Export Growth over the Next Year
    • Figure 5: Views on Export Growth over the Next 5 Years
  • Has Trade Reached a Peak?
  • Role of Trade in Growth
    • Figure 6: Estimated Change in the Share of Net Exports of GDP from 2000 to 2007
    • Figure 7: Estimated Change in the Share of Net Exports of GDP from 2007 to 2014
    • Figure 8: Has Trade Growth Reached a Peak?
  • Risks to Trade
    • Figure 9: Risks to Trade Growth
    • Figure 10: Views on Major Markets
  • Oil: Slippery Business
      Figure 11: Oil Prices
  • Impediments to Trade
    • Figure 12: Seriousness of Impediments to Trade
    • Figure 13: Seriousness of Regulatory Measures Affecting Service Sectors as an Impediment to Trade
    • Figure 14: Seriousness of Rising Local Content Requirements as in Impediment to Trade
  • Trade and Inclusive Growth
    • Figure 15: Asia-Pacific Views on Trade Policy Issues
    • Figure 16: The Asia-Pacific Needs a New Regional Trade Agreement that Includes All APEC Members
    • Figure 17: Free Trade Agreements Should Include Provisions to Protect Workers and Promote Environmental Protection
  • A New Asia-Pacific Trade Agreement?
  • Limits on the Benefits of Trade
    • Figure 18: Limits on the Benefits of Trade
    • Figure 19: Do supply side constraints limit the benefits of trade for your economy?
    • Figure 20: Do import barriers in your economy hamper participation in global and regional supply chains?
  • Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
    • Figure 21: Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
    • Figure 22: Importance of Capacity Building to Meet the FTAAP Standards
    • Figure 23: Business Views on the Priority Actions for Achieving an FTAAP
  • Utilization of Trade Agreements
    • Figure 24: Reasons for Low Utilization of Trade Agreements

Annex A: Survey Respondents

Annex B: Survey Questions

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Discussion Forum

Canada's "Progressive" Trade Agenda: Let's be careful how far we push it
Hugh Stephens, Distinguished fellow, Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada; Vice-Chair of the Canadian National Committee for Pacific Economic Cooperation (CANCPEC)


Comment: Canada - Japan relations: Time to hit reset
Hugh Stephens, Distinguished fellow, Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada; Vice-Chair of the Canadian National Committee for Pacific Economic Cooperation (CANCPEC)


The trouble with Canada’s ‘progressive’ trade strategy
Hugh Stephens, Distinguished fellow, Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada; Vice-Chair of the Canadian National Committee for Pacific Economic Cooperation (CANCPEC)


Near-Shoring gains traction as Globalisation stalls
Mark Millar, Author of Global Supply Chain Ecosystems and Visiting Lecturer at Hong Kong Polytechnic University


Going It Alone in the Asia-Pacific: Regional Trade Agreements Without the United States
Peter A. Petri (PIIE), Michael G. Plummer (Johns Hopkins University and East-West Center), Shujiro Urata (Waseda University) and Fan Zhai (Former Managing Director, China Investment Corporation)